Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 4:15 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualNo 98%
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Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado3 jun 23, 15:18 UTC1 feb 35, 4:59 UTC
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Some examples of disasters:
- -Nuclear strike
- -Infrastructure collapse, such as from a solar flare
- If a disaster affects Boston, Massachusetts, we'll refer to the total deaths attributed during the calendar year.
- We then calculate that as a percent of the prior population.
- If it's 10% or more, we resolve Yes.
