Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualAnglos🇺🇸 26.8%Líder entre 6 opciones
Pronosticadores
4
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado10 mar 25, 23:11 UTC31 dic 50, 14:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
Samuel P. Huntington's "Clash of Civilizations" thesis, introduced in a 1993 Foreign Affairs article and expanded in his 1996 book, proposes that post-Cold War conflicts would primarily arise from cultural and religious differences between civilizations rather than ideological or economic factors.
- Huntington identified several major civilizations including Western, Islamic, Sinic (Chinese), Hindu, Japanese, Latin American, Orthodox, and potentially African.
- The thesis suggests that as non-Western civilizations gain economic, military, and political power, they increasingly assert their cultural values and reject Western ones.
- This creates potential for conflict along the "fault lines" between civilizations.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve based on whether a clear "winner" emerges in what could be characterized as a clash of civilizations by 2050.
