Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualDemocrats 60.3%-0.1ptLíder entre 14 opciones
Pronosticadores
39
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado12 jun 25, 12:476 nov 28, 23:59
Tendencias
0.1%
0%
0%
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Democrats60%
Comparar plataformas· Democrats
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h
También disponible en Polymarket
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
0.5 pts2a
+0.5pt59%
41%
0%
+12 resultados más
87 • Alta calidadSpread estrechoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total1,7 M €
Volumen 24h6,9 mil €
POLYMARKET
También disponible en PredictIt
Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election?
3a
57%
46%
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the political party of the candidate who wins the 2028 United States presidential election, scheduled for November 7, 2028.
- The winning party will be determined based on the candidate who secures the majority of electoral votes as reported by reputable sources such as the Federal Election Commission (FEC) and major news outlets like The New York Times and CNN.
- The 2028 U.S. presidential election will determine the nation's leadership for the subsequent four years.
- As of June 2025, several potential candidates from both major parties are being discussed:
- Republican Party: Vice President JD Vance is considered a frontrunner, with a 25% chance of winning the 2028 presidential race, according to SportsBettingDime.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$2526 jul3d de datos28 jul
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the political party of the candidate who wins the 2028 United States presidential election, scheduled for November 7, 2028.
- The winning party will be determined based on the candidate who secures the majority of electoral votes as reported by reputable sources such as the Federal Election Commission (FEC) and major news outlets like The New York Times and CNN.
- The 2028 U.S. presidential election will determine the nation's leadership for the subsequent four years.
- As of June 2025, several potential candidates from both major parties are being discussed:
- Republican Party: Vice President JD Vance is considered a frontrunner, with a 25% chance of winning the 2028 presidential race, according to SportsBettingDime.