Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Democratic Party 60.6%Líder entre 3 opciones
Pronosticadores
38
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+0.1 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado12 sept 24, 3:26 UTC8 nov 28, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
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Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2028 US presidential election?
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PolymarketReglas
Resolves to the political party of the winner.
- Inspired by @ManifoldPolitics's 2024 market.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en ForecastEx — Will a Republican win the US Presidential Election in 2028? · No 56%
- También disponible en Limitless — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? · Democratic 66%
- También disponible en Manifold Markets — Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election? · Democrats 60%
- También disponible en Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winning Party · Democrat 57%
- También disponible en Polymarket — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? · Democratic 66%
- También disponible en PredictIt — Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election? · Democratic 58%
- También disponible en Kalshi — 2028 Presidential Election winner? (Party) · Democratic party 59%
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No-8.0pt69.3%
- Yes+8.0pt30.7%
- Volumen total
- 14,1 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 831,2 mil €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.8%
- Gavin Newsom13.7%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 187,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 495,4 mil €
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- Bibi / Netanyahu+83.0pt99%
- Ukraine+44.0pt99%
- Kamala99%
+31 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 864,2 mil €
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027+17.0pt61%
- Before Jan 1, 2028+16.0pt60%
- Before Apr 1, 2027+15.0pt48%
+7 resultados más
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027-1.0pt13%
- December7%
- September 30,-0.2pt1%
+2 resultados más
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.2pt35.7%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt27.6%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.2%
+38 resultados más
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- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Which party will win the 2028 US Presidential election??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Democratic Party al 61% a fecha de 14 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Which party will win the 2028 US Presidential election??
- Está previsto que Which party will win the 2028 US Presidential election? se resuelva el 8 de noviembre de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Which party will win the 2028 US Presidential election??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves to the political party of the winner.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Which party will win the 2028 US Presidential election??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en ForecastEx, Limitless, Manifold Markets, Robinhood (Rothera), Polymarket, PredictIt, Kalshi.