Pronóstico comunitario actual
Democrats 60.5%+0.3ptLíder entre 3 opciones
Pronosticadores
66
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+0.1 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado27 ene 25, 17:21 UTC8 ene 29, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
PolymarketWill the party that wins the 2024 US presidential election win the 2028 presidential election
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2028 US presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2028 US Presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
LimitlessWill Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?
PolymarketReglas
Resolves YES for “Democrats” if the winner of the 2028 presidential election is also the 2028 democratic party nominee for president.
- Resolves YES for “Republicans” if the winner of the 2028 presidential election is also the 2028 republican party nominee for president.
- Resolves YES for “Other” in any other scenario.
- Update 2025-02-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarifications:
- No Election: If no presidential election takes place in 2028, the market will resolve as Other.
- Outcome Determination: In cases where the winner is disputed or unclear, the resolution will be based on the candidate who is inaugurated at the market's end date.
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 605,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 697,7 mil €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 471,3 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 resultados más
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Democrats al 61% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election??
- Está previsto que Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election? se resuelva el 8 de enero de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves YES for “Democrats” if the winner of the 2028 presidential election is also the 2028 democratic party nominee for president.