PredictItComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución no verificadosRetail prediction exchange
Probabilidad implícita actual
Democratic 58%
Metodología
Retail prediction exchange
Tipo de pregunta
-
Volumen 24h
33,8 €
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 minuto
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the party that wins the 2024 US presidential election win the 2028 presidential election
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2028 US presidential election?
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Robinhood (Rothera)Who will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?
PolymarketWho will win the 2028 US presidential election?
PredictItReglas
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the party whose candidate receives a majority of the votes of the appointed presidential electors when the Electoral College votes are cast in the 2028 United States presidential election.
Should the winner of the presidential election not be the candidate of any party listed in this market at the time of resolution, all contracts shall resolve to No. In the event that no person receives such a majority, or that no such election or vote is held, all contracts shall resolve to No.
PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.
Should the winner of the presidential election not be the candidate of any party listed in this market at the time of resolution, all contracts shall resolve to No. In the event that no person receives such a majority, or that no such election or vote is held, all contracts shall resolve to No.
PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.
- Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
- If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
2 plataformas cotizan actualmente este mercado. La probabilidad de referencia ponderada por liquidez de CoinRithm para Democratic es del 67%. Las cotizaciones difieren en unos 9 puntos porcentuales entre las plataformas más alejadas. Las plataformas no coinciden en qué resultado va por delante.
Referencia CoinRithm Democratic 67% · 2 plataformas · 9 pt de dispersion entre venues
- También disponible en ForecastEx — Will a Republican win the US Presidential Election in 2028? · No 56%
- También disponible en Limitless — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? · Democratic 66%
- También disponible en Manifold Markets — Which party will win the 2028 US Presidential election? · Democratic Party 61%
- También disponible en Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winning Party · Democrat 57%
- También disponible en Polymarket — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? · Democratic 66%
- También disponible en Kalshi — 2028 Presidential Election winner? (Party) · Democratic party 59%
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsPreguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election??
- PredictIt cotiza Democratic al 58% a fecha de 14 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election??
- PredictIt liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the party whose candidate receives a majority of the votes of the appointed presidential electors when the Electoral College votes are cast in the 2028 United States presidential election.<br /><br />Should the winner of the presidential election not be the candidate of any party listed in this market at the time of resolution, all contracts shall resolve to No. In the event that no person receives such a majority, or that no such election or vote is held, all contracts shall resolve to No. <br /><br />PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.
