PredictItComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución no verificadosRetail prediction exchange
Probabilidad implícita actual
Democratic 62%
Democratic 62%Metodología
Retail prediction exchange
Tipo de pregunta
-
Volumen 24h
—
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 minuto
15 jul 25, 13:18 UTC30 oct 29, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
2028 US Presidential Election: Winner
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PredictItReglas
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the party whose candidate receives a majority of the votes of the appointed presidential electors when the Electoral College votes are cast in the 2028 United States presidential election.
Should the winner of the presidential election not be the candidate of any party listed in this market at the time of resolution, all contracts shall resolve to No. In the event that no person receives such a majority, or that no such election or vote is held, all contracts shall resolve to No.
PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.
Should the winner of the presidential election not be the candidate of any party listed in this market at the time of resolution, all contracts shall resolve to No. In the event that no person receives such a majority, or that no such election or vote is held, all contracts shall resolve to No.
PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.
- Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
- If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
4 plataformas cotizan actualmente este mercado. La probabilidad de referencia entre plataformas de CoinRithm para Democratic party es del 64%. La dispersión entre plataformas es de unos 4 puntos porcentuales. Las plataformas no coinciden en qué resultado va por delante.
Referencia CoinRithm Democratic party 64% · 4 plataformas · 4 pt de dispersion entre venues
- También disponible en ForecastEx — Will a Republican win the US Presidential Election in 2028? · No 56%
- También disponible en Limitless — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? · Democratic 65%
- También disponible en Manifold Markets — Will a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election? · Yes 64%
- También disponible en Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winning Party · Democrat 64%
- También disponible en Polymarket — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
