Pronóstico comunitario actual
Labour 43%Líder entre 6 opciones
Pronosticadores
55
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 25 minutos
5 may 25, 0:182 ene 29, 7:59
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Labour43%
Comparar plataformas· Labour
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMejor en general85% de coincidencia · verificado | Media | 37% | — | 66,8 € | 86,9 mil € | hace 25 minutos | Abrir → |
| Manifold MarketsEsta página | — | 43% | — | — | — | hace 25 minutos |
También disponible en Kalshi
Which party will win the next UK general election?
6.0 pts3a
37%
31%
20%
+5 resultados más
52 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total211,8 mil €
Volumen 24h66,8 €
KALSHIReglas
Resolves at the party that the first prime minister elected after the next general election is from.
- Update 2026-03-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If a hung parliament results in no government being formed and a snap election is called without any government (including a minority government) forming in the meantime, the market will resolve based on the PM after that subsequent election.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$3508 jul13d de datos27 jul
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Resolves at the party that the first prime minister elected after the next general election is from.
- Update 2026-03-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If a hung parliament results in no government being formed and a snap election is called without any government (including a minority government) forming in the meantime, the market will resolve based on the PM after that subsequent election.