KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actualLabour party 37%Líder entre 8 opciones
Calidad del mercado
53 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
95,8 €
Liquidez
86,8 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
1.9% / 7.5%
Spread
5.6 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 19 minutos
16 feb 26, 15:0031 ago 29, 14:00
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Restore Britain party2%
Comparar plataformas· Labour party
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiEsta páginaMejor en general | Media | 37% | — | 95,8 € | 86,8 mil € | hace 19 minutos | |
 Manifold Markets85% de coincidencia · verificado | — | 43% | — | — | — | hace 19 minutos | Abrir → |
También disponible en Manifold Markets
Which party will the Prime Minister after the next UK general election be from?
2a
+1.1pt43%
-1.9pt35.1%
+0.6pt13.7%
+3 resultados más
Pronóstico comunitario55 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSReglas
If the Your Party party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If two parties tie in seat count, then the party with the highest percentage of the vote will resolve to Yes and the others will resolve to No.
- If the Conservative party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Labour party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Reform party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Liberal Democratic party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$1092 jul25d de datos28 jul
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If the Your Party party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If two parties tie in seat count, then the party with the highest percentage of the vote will resolve to Yes and the others will resolve to No.
- If the Conservative party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Labour party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Reform party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Liberal Democratic party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.