How many people will serve as Prime Minister of the UK before 2029?

PolíticaOne-OffElección Europe2a

KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximada

Probabilidad implícita actual

5 2%

Líder entre 6 opciones

Calidad del mercado

36 / 100

Baja calidad

Volumen 24h

877,2 €

Liquidez

878,1 €

Baja liquidez

Compra / Venta

2.0% / 3.0%

Spread

50.0%

Spread amplio

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 1 minuto

7 jul 26, 18:458 ene 29, 15:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero

Resultado elegido

52%

Apuesta (USDT)

Reglas

If the number of people who have served as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, excluding Keir Starmer, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029 is exactly 1, then the market resolves to Yes.

"Served in the role" means that an individual has formally held the position in an official capacity, whether by appointment, election, succession, or acting designation, and performed the duties of that role for any length of time during the time period.
If an individual serves multiple non-consecutive terms in the role, they will count once for each term (allowing an individual to be counted multiple times).
If an individual holds the role temporarily in an "acting" or "interim" capacity for any amount of time, or is formally designated as such, they count as serving in the role.
Dual officeholders count once per person even if holding multiple titles simultaneously.
If an individual is appointed but never sworn in, or withdraws before assuming office, they do not count as serving.

Tendencia de volumen

$1.0k

7 jul2d de datos8 jul

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Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$62,987.04+1.58%

EthereumETH$1,755.20+1.06%

SolanaSOL$78.07+1.15%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0727+1.84%

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Reglas

If the number of people who have served as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, excluding Keir Starmer, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029 is exactly 1, then the market resolves to Yes.

"Served in the role" means that an individual has formally held the position in an official capacity, whether by appointment, election, succession, or acting designation, and performed the duties of that role for any length of time during the time period.
If an individual serves multiple non-consecutive terms in the role, they will count once for each term (allowing an individual to be counted multiple times).
If an individual holds the role temporarily in an "acting" or "interim" capacity for any amount of time, or is formally designated as such, they count as serving in the role.
Dual officeholders count once per person even if holding multiple titles simultaneously.
If an individual is appointed but never sworn in, or withdraws before assuming office, they do not count as serving.

How many people will serve as Prime Minister of the UK before 2029?

PolíticaOne-OffElección Europe2a

KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximada

Probabilidad implícita actual

5 2%

Líder entre 6 opciones

Calidad del mercado

36 / 100

Baja calidad

Volumen 24h

877,2 €

Liquidez

878,1 €

Baja liquidez

Compra / Venta

2.0% / 3.0%

Spread

50.0%

Spread amplio

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 1 minuto

7 jul 26, 18:458 ene 29, 15:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero

Resultado elegido

52%

Apuesta (USDT)

Reglas

If the number of people who have served as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, excluding Keir Starmer, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029 is exactly 1, then the market resolves to Yes.

"Served in the role" means that an individual has formally held the position in an official capacity, whether by appointment, election, succession, or acting designation, and performed the duties of that role for any length of time during the time period.
If an individual serves multiple non-consecutive terms in the role, they will count once for each term (allowing an individual to be counted multiple times).
If an individual holds the role temporarily in an "acting" or "interim" capacity for any amount of time, or is formally designated as such, they count as serving in the role.
Dual officeholders count once per person even if holding multiple titles simultaneously.
If an individual is appointed but never sworn in, or withdraws before assuming office, they do not count as serving.

Tendencia de volumen

$1.0k

7 jul2d de datos8 jul

Mercados Relacionados

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner

42,2 mil €

AfD: 80%

POLYMARKET

Clacton By-Election - Winner

11,6 mil €

Conservative: 0.01%

SMARKETS

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner

11,2 mil €

AfD: 98%

POLYMARKET

Candidates in next Labour leadership election?

10,6 mil €

Andy Burnham: 99%

POLYMARKET

Will a Clacton by-election happen in 2026?

3,6 mil €

Sí: 96%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which party will win the Clacton by-election?

2,7 mil €

Labour: 0.2%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$62,987.04+1.58%

EthereumETH$1,755.20+1.06%

SolanaSOL$78.07+1.15%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0727+1.84%

XRPXRP$1.10+1.42%

BNBBNB$572.28+1.89%

Noticias Relacionadas

Last-minute MiCA approvals mark end of EU transition periodCointelegraph

Europe’s MiCA crypto regime is fully in force: Here’s who wins and losesThe Block

Democrats ramp up election-integrity push as Polymarket keeps Bardella at 25.5%Blockchain.News

Colorado Dem upset jolts 2028 chatter as Polymarket puts Newsom at 20.5%Blockchain.News

Why Poland is the only EU country where crypto firms can't get a MiCA licenseCoindesk

Colorado primary surprise as Polymarket keeps Maduro favored at 80%Blockchain.News

Reglas

If the number of people who have served as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, excluding Keir Starmer, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029 is exactly 1, then the market resolves to Yes.

"Served in the role" means that an individual has formally held the position in an official capacity, whether by appointment, election, succession, or acting designation, and performed the duties of that role for any length of time during the time period.
If an individual serves multiple non-consecutive terms in the role, they will count once for each term (allowing an individual to be counted multiple times).
If an individual holds the role temporarily in an "acting" or "interim" capacity for any amount of time, or is formally designated as such, they count as serving in the role.
Dual officeholders count once per person even if holding multiple titles simultaneously.
If an individual is appointed but never sworn in, or withdraws before assuming office, they do not count as serving.