Aviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 23 oct 2026, 21:45 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actual
Labour 53%+8.8ptLíder entre 10 opciones
Labour 53%+8.8ptPronosticadores
28
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
-3.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 57 minutos
Retrasado22 ago 24, 0:03 UTC2 ene 27, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Which main party will form a Government after the 2026 New Zealand General Election
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KalshiReglas
Parties with ministers inside cabinet are considered part of forming a government.
- Parties who do not have ministers inside cabinet are not considered part of the government for the resolution of this question.
- So, in 2020, a similar question would only resolve positively for Labour.
- In 2023, it would resolve positively for National, the named outcome, and ACT.
- I will add new parties on request from 1 January 2026 if they are officially registered, or as I judge to be worthwhile adding.
- Parties included so far are those that ran in both 2020 and 2023.
