Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
National Party 59%+4.6ptLíder entre 7 opciones
National Party 59%+4.6ptPronosticadores
26
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+11.7 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 minutos
17 sept 24, 5:51 UTC19 dic 26, 10:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
What will be the outcome of the 2026 New Zealand General Election?
Manifold MarketsWhich main party will form a Government after the 2026 New Zealand General Election
Manifold MarketsWill Christopher Luxon still be Prime Minister of New Zealand when the 2026 general election is held?
Manifold MarketsAfter the 2026 New Zealand general election, which parties will form a government?
Manifold MarketsNew Zealand general election winner?
KalshiWhich party will win the House in 2026?
PolymarketReglas
The next New Zealand general election is to be held on or before Saturday, 19 December 2026, most likely in November 2026 although it could be called at any time.
- Will be resolved based on the results available at https://electionresults.govt.nz/.
- Resolution will be for the largest party, not necessarily the party that enters government.
- Largest party will be by number of seats, using party vote percent if there is a tie.