Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
National Party 64.6%Líder entre 7 opciones
Pronosticadores
23
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+20.1 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado17 sept 24, 5:51 UTC19 dic 26, 10:59 UTC
Tendencias
0.3%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
Mercados Relacionados
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The next New Zealand general election is to be held on or before Saturday, 19 December 2026, most likely in November 2026 although it could be called at any time.
- Will be resolved based on the results available at https://electionresults.govt.nz/.
- Resolution will be for the largest party, not necessarily the party that enters government.
- Largest party will be by number of seats, using party vote percent if there is a tie.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Largest party in the next New Zealand general election??
- Manifold Markets cotiza National Party al 65% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Largest party in the next New Zealand general election??
- Está previsto que Largest party in the next New Zealand general election? se resuelva el 19 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Largest party in the next New Zealand general election??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: The next New Zealand general election is to be held on or before Saturday, 19 December 2026, most likely in November 2026 although it could be called at any time.