Pronóstico comunitario actual
Labour 52%+9.4pt
Pronosticadores
16
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
-3.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado6 mar 26, 6:39 UTC24 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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Resolution criteria
- The election will be held on 7 November 2026.
- The market resolves to whichever main party (National or Labour) forms the government following the election.
- A party must demonstrate to the Governor-General that they have the confidence of the House by securing a majority of votes in a confidence motion and getting a budget through parliament.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the Governor-General and the New Zealand government regarding which party leader is appointed Prime Minister.
- See: https://www.beehive.govt.nz/ and https://gg.govt.nz/