Who will be a part of the next government of New Zealand?
PolíticaOne-OffAjedrezPolítica de EE. UU.ElecciónDeportes4m
KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 17:38 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Punto medio del libro seleccionado
Labour · —
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Precio guardado
Labour 61%Líder entre 7 opciones
Labour 61%Calidad del mercado
21 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
14,2 €
Interés abierto
379,9 US$
Interés abierto bajoCompra / Venta
— / —
LabourSpread
—
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado10 sept 26, 2:00 UTC15 mar 27, 14:00 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidad de mercado · Labour
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PolymarketReglas
If a coalition that includes Labour makes up the next elected ruling government of New Zealand before Mar 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes. A party is considered to be part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position (including junior ministers or equivalent executive roles, if applicable) in the new government. This evaluation shall occur at the first official, stable formation of the government (i.e., once the legislative process for forming a government is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances). A party governing alone qualifies under this ministerial-position test. A confidence and supply arrangement (or any analogous agreement), where a party does not hold formal cabinet or ministerial positions but has publicly agreed, through a formal written agreement or a widely recognized, explicitly stated political deal, to support the government on key votes (e.g., votes of confidence, budget/finance bills) without formally joining the cabinet or government, counts only when expressly specified in the market’s party description. These individual-party descriptions do not specify such an arrangement, so confidence and supply without a qualifying ministerial position does not count. If, following the election, a caretaker or interim government is appointed temporarily before the formal government formation, this caretaker period does not count for determining a given party’s status.
Reglas de cada resultado
- Labour
- If a coalition that includes Labour makes up the next elected ruling government of New Zealand before Mar 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- National
- If a coalition that includes National makes up the next elected ruling government of New Zealand before Mar 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Greens
- If a coalition that includes Greens makes up the next elected ruling government of New Zealand before Mar 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- New Zealand First
- If a coalition that includes New Zealand First makes up the next elected ruling government of New Zealand before Mar 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ACT
- If a coalition that includes ACT makes up the next elected ruling government of New Zealand before Mar 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Te Pāti Māori
- If a coalition that includes Te Pāti Māori makes up the next elected ruling government of New Zealand before Mar 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Opportunity
- If a coalition that includes Opportunity makes up the next elected ruling government of New Zealand before Mar 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.