Who will be a part of the next government of New Zealand?
PolíticaOne-OffChessUS PoliticsElecciónDeportes6m
KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosSin actividad de trading
Datos del 10 sept 2026, 19:40 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
National 0%Líder entre 7 opciones
Calidad del mercado
31 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
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Liquidez
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Liquidez desconocidaSpread
7.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 minutos
10 sept 26, 2:00 UTC15 mar 27, 14:00 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
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PolymarketReglas
If a coalition that includes National makes up the next elected ruling government of New Zealand before Mar 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes.
- A party is considered to be part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position (including junior ministers or equivalent executive roles, if applicable) in the new government.
- This evaluation shall occur at the first official, stable formation of the government (i.e., once the legislative process for forming a government is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances).
- A party governing alone qualifies under this ministerial-position test.
- A confidence and supply arrangement (or any analogous agreement), where a party does not hold formal cabinet or ministerial positions but has publicly agreed, through a formal written agreement or a widely recognized, explicitly stated political deal, to support the government on key votes (e.g., votes of confidence, budget/finance bills) without formally joining the cabinet or government, counts only when expressly specified in the market’s party description.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Who will be a part of the next government of New Zealand??
- Kalshi cotiza National al 0% a fecha de 10 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Who will be a part of the next government of New Zealand??
- Está previsto que Who will be a part of the next government of New Zealand? se resuelva el 15 de marzo de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Who will be a part of the next government of New Zealand??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If a coalition that includes National makes up the next elected ruling government of New Zealand before Mar 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.