Which parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?
One-OffPolíticaElecciónChessUS PoliticsDeportes3m
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Labour Party 66%+2.5ptLíder entre 6 opciones
Calidad del mercado
25 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
0 €
Liquidez
315 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
2.0% / 72.0%
Spread
70.0 pt
Spread amplioCambio 7d
-1.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 minutos
29 abr 26, 23:437 nov 26, 0:00
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Labour Party66%
Tendencia de volumen
$155 jul8d de datos22 jul
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A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first New Zealand government formed after the 2026 New Zealand general election.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the Governor-General after the 2026 New Zealand general election, with ministers appointed under non-caretaker circumstances.
- A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister.
- Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post will not qualify.