Pronóstico comunitario actual
Labour coalition 49.4%Líder entre 4 opciones
Pronosticadores
24
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
-0.3 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado2 ene 26, 2:49 UTC16 oct 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiReglas
Resolves to the first government formation after the next New Zealand election (if it's postponed beyond 2026, resolves to the next election after that).
- "Other" might include a grand coalition containing both National and Labour, or a government of small parties without either major party.
- Labour/National need not be the largest party in their coalition for their respective options to resolve, and they may govern alone.
- "the named outcome" means that a new election happens without a non-caretaker government being formed.
- Update 2026-01-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Coalition governments include:
- Minority governments
Mercados abiertos
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- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
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POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
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- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 resultados más
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- 183,4 M €
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- 471,3 mil €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de What will be the outcome of the 2026 New Zealand General Election??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Labour coalition al 49% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve What will be the outcome of the 2026 New Zealand General Election??
- Está previsto que What will be the outcome of the 2026 New Zealand General Election? se resuelva el 16 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida What will be the outcome of the 2026 New Zealand General Election??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves to the first government formation after the next New Zealand election (if it's postponed beyond 2026, resolves to the next election after that).