Pronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 82.6%
Pronosticadores
22
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 horas
Desactualizado26 feb 25, 8:10 UTC7 nov 26, 10:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Christopher Luxon out by September 30?
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Manifold MarketsReglas
The latest the election may be held is 19 December 2026.
- It's likely the election will be held before that date so this will resolve on the election day.
- The date will be updated once the election date is announced, likely early 2026.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Christopher Luxon is still serving as the Prime Minister of New Zealand on the day the 2026 general election is held.
- The market will resolve to NO if:
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Christopher Luxon still be Prime Minister of New Zealand when the 2026 general election is held??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 83% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Christopher Luxon still be Prime Minister of New Zealand when the 2026 general election is held??
- Está previsto que Will Christopher Luxon still be Prime Minister of New Zealand when the 2026 general election is held? se resuelva el 7 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Christopher Luxon still be Prime Minister of New Zealand when the 2026 general election is held??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: The latest the election may be held is 19 December 2026.