Pronóstico comunitario actual
Chris Hipkins 49.6%Líder entre 7 opciones
Pronosticadores
5
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+35.4 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado22 oct 26, 7:20 UTC8 nov 26, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Christopher Luxon still be Prime Minister of New Zealand when the 2026 general election is held?
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Manifold MarketsWho will be elected New Zealand Prime Minister in the next election?
Manifold MarketsReglas
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 General elections.
- To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the Governor-General as Prime Minister of New Zealand.
- Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Zealand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Manifold Markets — Who will be elected New Zealand Prime Minister in the next election? · Christopher Luxon 49%
- También disponible en Polymarket — Next Prime Minister of New Zealand? · Christopher Luxon 56%
