Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualChris Hipkins 47.7%Líder entre 18 opciones
Pronosticadores
17
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado14 oct 23, 18:59 UTC2 ene 50, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
[Metaculus] Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?
Manifold MarketsIf this person is elected Deputy Leader of Labour in 2025, will the Prime Minister on January 1st 2030 be Labour?
Manifold MarketsNext Prime Minister of New Zealand?
PolymarketNext Prime Minister of New Zealand?
Manifold MarketsWill Christopher Luxon still be Prime Minister of New Zealand when the 2026 general election is held?
Manifold MarketsPrime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
KalshiReglas
Resolves to the next Labour prime minister of New Zealand, whoever that will be. "Other" will never resolve positively.
- I'm not sure how the "Other" category works.
- If you think that none of the listed people will resolve positively, your best bet is probably to bet against them rather than bet in favour of "Other".