Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 17 jul 2026, 17:20 UTC · política pm-quality-2
Pronóstico comunitario actualBenjamin Netanyahu 18.3%Líder entre 7 opciones
Pronosticadores
7
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 días
Desactualizado15 jul 26, 18:5930 dic 26, 23:59
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Benjamin Netanyahu18%
Comparar plataformas· Gadi Eizenkot
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMejor en general97% de coincidencia · auto | Media | 52% | — | 454,4 mil € | 2 M € | hace 17 minutos | Abrir → |
 Kalshi83% de coincidencia · vinculado | Media | 52% | — | 376,1 € | 35,5 mil € | hace 17 minutos | Abrir → |
 Futuur68% de coincidencia · vinculado | Baja | 53% | — | 0 € | 3,1 mil € | hace 17 minutos | Abrir → |
 Limitless90% de coincidencia · vinculado | Baja | 52% | — | 0 € | 0 € | hace 17 minutos | Abrir → |
| Manifold Markets90% de coincidencia · vinculado | — | 46% | — | — | — | hace 35 días | Abrir → |
| Manifold Markets78% de coincidencia · vinculado | — | 51% | — | — | — | hace 8 días | Abrir → |
| Manifold MarketsEsta página | — | 48% | — | — | — | hace 8 días | |
 PredictIt69% de coincidencia · vinculado | — | 42% | — | — | — | hace 17 minutos | Abrir → |
También disponible en Polymarket
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
5m
+3.8%52%
-2.0%34%
-1.0%7%
+25 resultados más
73 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total26,1 M €
Volumen 24h454,4 mil €
POLYMARKETTambién disponible en Manifold Markets
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
3a
46%
23.7%
17.4%
+13 resultados más
Pronóstico comunitario49 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambién disponible en Limitless
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after next election?
1a
52%
50%
50%
+2 resultados más
28 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total3,3 mil €
Volumen 24h0 €
LIMITLESSTambién disponible en Kalshi
Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
2.0%1a
+4.0%52%
+2.0%36%
+8.0%10%
+15 resultados más
64 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total62,2 mil €
Volumen 24h376,1 €
KALSHITambién disponible en Manifold Markets
Who will be the Israeli PM after the next election?
3m
+8.1%51.2%
-0.5%37.5%
-7.6%7.7%
+10 resultados más
Pronóstico comunitario100 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambién disponible en PredictIt
Who will be the Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
9.0%3a
-9.0%42%
16%
-3.0%9%
+6 resultados más
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITTambién disponible en Futuur
Israel’s next prime minister after the 2026 election
3m
53%
37%
9%
44 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total879,4 €
Volumen 24h0 €
FUTUURReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially sworn in as the Prime Minister of Israel by the Knesset following the next legislative election (scheduled for October 27, 2026, or sooner if a snap election is triggered beforehand).
- "Sworn In" Definition: The resolution will be determined by the first person who successfully forms a government and takes the oath of office in the Knesset.
- In the event of a rotational premiership agreement, the individual who serves as Prime Minister first will be the resolving winner.
- Hung Knesset: This option will resolve to YES if the Knesset elected in the next election fails to form a governing coalition within the legally mandated timeframe.
- A caretaker Prime Minister continuing to serve in an interim capacity during this political deadlock does not count as being sworn in for a new term.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Operaciones grandes
$1.2k66.0%POLYMARKETWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — NoGeoStrategistProhace 7 h
POLYMARKETWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — NoGeoStrategistProhace 7 h$11.4k99.4%POLYMARKETWill Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — NoALONE36hace 22 h
POLYMARKETWill Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — NoALONE36hace 22 h$6.3k62.0%POLYMARKETWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — Noflawfencehace 3 d
POLYMARKETWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — Noflawfencehace 3 d$11.0k99.8%POLYMARKETWill Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — NoALONE36hace 6 d
POLYMARKETWill Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — NoALONE36hace 6 d$1.1k99.6%POLYMARKETWill Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — Nohklcrypthace 8 d
POLYMARKETWill Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — Nohklcrypthace 8 d$6.6k32.2%POLYMARKETWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — YesFussy-Countrysidehace 8 d
POLYMARKETWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — YesFussy-Countrysidehace 8 d$5.2k99.8%POLYMARKETWill Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — No0xe5da…03a1hace 11 d
POLYMARKETWill Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — No0xe5da…03a1hace 11 d$1.0k99.7%POLYMARKETWill Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — NoCarpenterhace 13 d
POLYMARKETWill Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — NoCarpenterhace 13 dTendencia de volumen
$45115 jul3d de datos17 jul
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially sworn in as the Prime Minister of Israel by the Knesset following the next legislative election (scheduled for October 27, 2026, or sooner if a snap election is triggered beforehand).
- "Sworn In" Definition: The resolution will be determined by the first person who successfully forms a government and takes the oath of office in the Knesset.
- In the event of a rotational premiership agreement, the individual who serves as Prime Minister first will be the resolving winner.
- Hung Knesset: This option will resolve to YES if the Knesset elected in the next election fails to form a governing coalition within the legally mandated timeframe.
- A caretaker Prime Minister continuing to serve in an interim capacity during this political deadlock does not count as being sworn in for a new term.