Israel election: Who will be the next prime minister?
2.5 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffElecciónMiddle East3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualGadi Eizenkot 44%+2.5ptLíder entre 7 opciones
Pronosticadores
9
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
-2.4 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 minutos
15 jul 26, 18:59 UTC30 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain the prime minister of Israel until the next election?
Manifold MarketsNext General Election - Prime Minister At Poll Opening - Andy Burnham
SmarketsIsrael Election: RZP-Zehut # of seats?
PolymarketIsrael Election: Otzma # of seats?
PolymarketIsrael Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats?
PolymarketWhat will be the results of Israel's next election?
Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially sworn in as the Prime Minister of Israel by the Knesset following the next legislative election (scheduled for October 27, 2026, or sooner if a snap election is triggered beforehand).
- "Sworn In" Definition: The resolution will be determined by the first person who successfully forms a government and takes the oath of office in the Knesset.
- In the event of a rotational premiership agreement, the individual who serves as Prime Minister first will be the resolving winner.
- Hung Knesset: This option will resolve to YES if the Knesset elected in the next election fails to form a governing coalition within the legally mandated timeframe.
- A caretaker Prime Minister continuing to serve in an interim capacity during this political deadlock does not count as being sworn in for a new term.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Gemini — Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? · Gadi Eizenkot 60%
- También disponible en Kalshi — Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election? · Gadi Eizenkot 61%
- También disponible en Futuur — Israel’s next prime minister after the 2026 election · Gadi Eisenkot 60%
- También disponible en Limitless — Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after next election? · Gadi Eizenkot 58%
- También disponible en Polymarket — Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? · Gadi Eizenkot 59%
- También disponible en Manifold Markets — Who will be the Israeli PM after the next election? · Gadi Eisenkot 53%
- También disponible en PredictIt — Who will be the Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election? · Gadi Eisenkot 92%
Mercados abiertos
Politics
KALSHINH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Stefany Shaheen+81.8pt100%
- Maura Sullivan-81.6pt0%
- Carleigh Beriont-2.7pt0%
- Volumen total
- 957,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 760,7 mil €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.2%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.1%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-3.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.9pt45.5%
- Renan Santos1%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+2.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-1.3pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.6pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.2pt37.1%
- Édouard Philippe32%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.4%
+38 resultados más
- Volumen total
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- NJ-07 House winner?
- IA-01 House winner?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Israel election: Who will be the next prime minister??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Gadi Eizenkot al 44% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Israel election: Who will be the next prime minister??
- Está previsto que Israel election: Who will be the next prime minister? se resuelva el 30 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Israel election: Who will be the next prime minister??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria
- ¿Dónde más está listado Israel election: Who will be the next prime minister??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Gemini, Kalshi, Futuur, Limitless, Polymarket, Manifold Markets, PredictIt.