Israel election: Which party will win the most seats?
4.6 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffElecciónOriente Medio16h
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualYashar (Gadi Eizenkot) 70%-4.6ptLíder entre 6 opciones
Pronosticadores
39
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
-1.4 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 minutos
15 jul 26, 18:50 UTC27 oct 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the political party or joint electoral list that wins the highest number of seats in the Knesset in the next Israeli legislative election (scheduled for October 27, 2026).
- Resolution will be based on the official final results published by the Israeli Central Elections Committee (CEC).
- The official results can be verified on the CEC Official Website or via primary national news reports covering the final certification.
- In the event of a tie in the number of seats won, the party with the higher total popular vote according to the official CEC data will be declared the winner.
- The Israeli authorities have confirmed the next general election for October 27, 2026.
