Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual35-39 40%-1.0ptLíder entre 7 opciones
Pronosticadores
6
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+25.7 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado18 oct 26, 8:40 UTC8 nov 26, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)
PolymarketWill the party with the most seats supply the prime minister after the 2026 NZ Election?
Manifold MarketsNZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?
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Manifold MarketsNZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?
Manifold MarketsHow many list seats will the NZ National Party get after the election?
Manifold MarketsReglas
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the National Party in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
- If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
- This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the National Party in this election.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
