Probabilidad implícita actual
Likud 48%Líder entre 6 opciones
Calidad del mercado
56 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
0,9 €
Liquidez
34 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
44.0% / 49.0%
Spread
11.4%
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 minutos
15 jul 25, 14:0027 oct 27, 14:00
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Likud48%
También disponible en Polymarket
Israeli Legislative Election Winner
0.5%3m
+0.5%51%
34%
-2.0%11%
+36 resultados más
91 • Alta calidadSpread estrechoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total54,9 mil €
Volumen 24h444,6 €
POLYMARKETReglas
If the winner of the next Israeli legislative election in 2026 is Likud, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority.
- For a parliamentary or legislative election, the winner is the party or formal pre-election coalition that wins the most seats in the specified chamber, even if they do not form the government.
- If there is a tie for the most seats, the winner is the party that enters government; if that doesn't resolve the tie, the winner is the party with the higher share of the vote.
- If an election is postponed, the contract remains open until the new date, for a maximum of two years.
- Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
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If the winner of the next Israeli legislative election in 2026 is Likud, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority.
- For a parliamentary or legislative election, the winner is the party or formal pre-election coalition that wins the most seats in the specified chamber, even if they do not form the government.
- If there is a tie for the most seats, the winner is the party that enters government; if that doesn't resolve the tie, the winner is the party with the higher share of the vote.
- If an election is postponed, the contract remains open until the new date, for a maximum of two years.
- Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction.