KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
Above 17 · —
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Precio guardado
Above 17 85%Líder entre 8 opciones
Above 17 85%Calidad del mercado
48 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
637,4 €
Interés abierto
26,7 mil US$
Interés abierto altoCompra / Venta
— / —
Above 17Spread
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 27 minutos
8 oct 26, 19:34 UTC27 oct 27, 14:00 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidad de mercado · Above 17
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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KalshiHow many seats will Likud win in the 2026 Israel legislative elections?
PredictItMexico 2027 Chamber of Deputies Legislative Election Winner
Manifold MarketsReglas
If Likud has won above 23 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Central Elections Committee
- Note: If Likud runs in this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by that list will be counted. If Likud merges with another party before the election, all seats won by the merged party will be counted, as will any seats won by a joint candidate list the merged party runs on. A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either: The time for legal challenges has expired Challenges have been resolved The member has taken their seat Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged. If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price. Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections. By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature.
Reglas de cada resultado
- Above 17
- If Likud has won above 17 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 20
- If Likud has won above 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 23
- If Likud has won above 23 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 24
- If Likud has won above 24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 26
- If Likud has won above 26 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 29
- If Likud has won above 29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 32
- If Likud has won above 32 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 35
- If Likud has won above 35 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
