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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Space
  3. Which month will Blue Moon Mk 1 successfully land on the Moon?
Manifold Markets

Which month will Blue Moon Mk 1 successfully land on the Moon?

One-OffSpaceCiencia6m
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSin KYC
Pronóstico comunitario actual
Manifold Markets
March 2026 0.4%
Líder entre 11 opciones
Pronosticadores

11

Tipo de pregunta

multiple choice

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 6 días

Desactualizado
19 ene 26, 3:0930 dic 26, 23:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

June 20261%

Reglas

Resolution Criteria

Manifold Markets
  • Blue Moon Mk 1 Pathfinder is set to launch no earlier than early 2026, with the lander expected to touch down near the Shackleton crater at the Moon's south pole.
  • The market resolves to the month in which Blue Moon Mk 1 successfully lands on the lunar surface.
  • Resolution will be determined by official Blue Origin announcements and NASA confirmation of a successful landing.
  • Successful landing is defined by the spacecraft transmitting data from the surface.
  • The mission will demonstrate critical systems, including the BE-7 engine, cryogenic fluid power and propulsion systems, avionics, continuous downlink communications, and precision landing with an accuracy within 100 meters.

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Reglas

Resolution Criteria

Manifold Markets
  • Blue Moon Mk 1 Pathfinder is set to launch no earlier than early 2026, with the lander expected to touch down near the Shackleton crater at the Moon's south pole.
  • The market resolves to the month in which Blue Moon Mk 1 successfully lands on the lunar surface.
  • Resolution will be determined by official Blue Origin announcements and NASA confirmation of a successful landing.
  • Successful landing is defined by the spacecraft transmitting data from the surface.
  • The mission will demonstrate critical systems, including the BE-7 engine, cryogenic fluid power and propulsion systems, avionics, continuous downlink communications, and precision landing with an accuracy within 100 meters.