Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 70.2%
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16
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado11 sept 23, 22:29 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
Astrobotic Technology is a private spaceflight company.
- The Griffin lander has been contracted by NASA under the Commercial Lunar Payload Services (CLPS) program to build and fly a lander to the surface of the moon.
- It should launch in late 2024.
- For a successful mission the Griffin lander needs to soft-land on the moon, and the payloads on the lander need to be operational.
- The Griffin lander is a successor to the Peregrine lander.
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/Sailfish/will-astrobotic-technologys-peregri)
Mercados abiertos
Space
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
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+18 resultados más
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- No56.5%
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- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
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KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
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KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
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- Volumen total
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Astrobotic Technology's Griffin Mission 1 mission successfully land on the moon??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 70% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Astrobotic Technology's Griffin Mission 1 mission successfully land on the moon??
- Está previsto que Will Astrobotic Technology's Griffin Mission 1 mission successfully land on the moon? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Astrobotic Technology's Griffin Mission 1 mission successfully land on the moon??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Astrobotic Technology is a private spaceflight company.