Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 71.8%
Pronosticadores
23
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado10 sept 23, 15:42 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will a human mission successfully land on the Moon again by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Astrobotic Technology's Griffin Mission 1 mission successfully land on the moon?
Manifold MarketsWhich of these will successfully land on the Moon in 2026?
Manifold MarketsSpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
KalshiWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketReglas
Intuitive Machines is a private spaceflight company.
- The IM-3 mission has been contracted by NASA under the Commercial Lunar Payload Services (CLPS) program to build and fly a lander to the surface of the moon.
- For a successful mission the Nova-C lander needs to soft-land on the moon such that the landing does not interfere with the function of the payloads, and the mission timeline is not cut by more than 50%.
- IM-3 is preceeded by IM-1 and IM-2.
Mercados abiertos
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 103,1 mil €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Volumen total
- 57,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 57,4 mil €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 resultados más
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 resultados más
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Volumen total
- 817,9 mil €
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Intuitive Machine's IM-3 mission successfully land on the moon??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 72% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Intuitive Machine's IM-3 mission successfully land on the moon??
- Está previsto que Will Intuitive Machine's IM-3 mission successfully land on the moon? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Intuitive Machine's IM-3 mission successfully land on the moon??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Intuitive Machines is a private spaceflight company.