PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
No 87.1%
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
34,4 €
Liquidez
2,1 mil €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
12.0% / 13.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
+0.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
31 dic 25, 18:19 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if a natural meteoroid (bolide) explodes in Earth's atmosphere with a total impact energy greater than or equal to 10 kilotons of TNT equivalent between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The object must be classified as a natural meteoroid; events involving artificial objects or reentry vehicles do not qualify.
- The primary resolution source will be the NASA JPL Fireball and Bolide Data repository: https://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/fireballs/.
- The relevant field for determining impact energy is the “Impact Energy (kt)” column.
- If this dataset has not been updated to include all relevant dates by February 28, 2027, or if the NASA JPL Fireball and Bolide Data repository becomes permanently unavailable, this market may resolve based on a consensus of credible sources including the European Space Agency (ESA), the International Asteroid Warning Network (IAWN), the U.S. Department of Defense, or credible reporting of a scientific consensus, such as a NASA press release.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026??
- Polymarket cotiza No al 87% a fecha de 10 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026??
- Está previsto que Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Yes" if a natural meteoroid (bolide) explodes in Earth's atmosphere with a total impact energy greater than or equal to 10 kilotons of TNT equivalent between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.