PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actualNo 99%
Calidad del mercado
74 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
11,9 €
Liquidez
3,6 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
1.2% / 1.5%
Spread
0.3 pt
Spread estrechoCambio 7d
-0.3%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 minutos
2 ene 26, 20:4031 dic 26, 0:00
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Yes1%
Tendencia de volumen
$142 jul25d de datos27 jul
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if a natural meteoroid (bolide) explodes in Earth's atmosphere with a total impact energy greater than or equal to 1 megaton (1000 kilotons) of TNT equivalent between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The object must be classified as a natural meteoroid; events involving artificial objects or reentry vehicles do not qualify.
- The primary resolution source will be the NASA JPL Fireball and Bolide Data repository: https://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/fireballs/.
- The relevant field for determining impact energy is the “Impact Energy (kt)” column.
- If this dataset has not been updated to include all relevant dates by February 28, 2027, or if the NASA JPL Fireball and Bolide Data repository becomes permanently unavailable, this market may resolve based on a consensus of credible sources including the European Space Agency (ESA), the International Asteroid Warning Network (IAWN), the U.S.