PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Meta 28.9%-16.0ptLíder entre 21 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
68 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
1,1 mil €
Liquidez
11,9 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
2.0 pt
Spread estrechoComments
0
Cambio 7d
-0.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 minutos
13 ago 26, 21:1531 oct 26, 23:59
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Reglas
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
- Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
- AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time.
- If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view.
- If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard.
Mercados abiertos
Tech
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Aug 25, 2026?
- 85° to 86°+66.0pt95.2%
- 83° to 84°-46.0pt1%
- 89° or above-6.0pt1%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 419,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 376,9 mil €
KALSHIBTC price on Aug 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,000 or above+4.0pt99%
- $72,500 or above+4.0pt99%
- $68,500 or above+2.0pt99%
+47 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Aug 25, 2026?
- New Orleans+15.0pt81.8%
- Oklahoma City-12.0pt1.6%
- Atlanta-2.0pt1.6%
+17 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIBTC price on Aug 26, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,250 or above98%
- $74,250 or above98%
- $75,000 or above97%
+77 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 263,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 259,6 mil €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets August 24 - August 26, 2026?
- 65-89+19.5pt63.3%
- 40-64-2.5pt34.7%
- 90-114-14.9pt2%
+7 resultados más
KALSHIBitcoin price at the end of 2026
- 80,000 to 84,999.99-1.0pt10.6%
- 75,000 to 79,999.99-0.3pt10.6%
- 70,000 to 74,999.998.7%
+25 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 28,3 M €
- Elon Musk # tweets August 25 - September 1, 2026?
- Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Aug 25, 2026?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Aug 25, 2026?
- Which company has best AI model end of August?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Aug 25, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Atlanta on Aug 25, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Denver on Aug 25, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Aug 25, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Oklahoma City on Aug 25, 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de #3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)?
- Polymarket cotiza Meta al 29% a fecha de 26 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve #3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)?
- Está previsto que #3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On) se resuelva el 31 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida #3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)?
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.