PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
No 96%+0.3pt
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
3,4 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
2.2% / 5.0%
Spread
2.8 pt
Spread moderadoComentarios
4
Cambio 7d
-0.4 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
2 ene 26, 20:40 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
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KalshiReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a natural meteoroid (bolide) explodes in Earth's atmosphere with a total impact energy greater than or equal to 100 kilotons of TNT equivalent between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The object must be classified as a natural meteoroid; events involving artificial objects or reentry vehicles do not qualify.
- The primary resolution source will be the NASA JPL Fireball and Bolide Data repository: https://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/fireballs/.
- The relevant field for determining impact energy is the “Impact Energy (kt)” column.
- If this dataset has not been updated to include all relevant dates by February 28, 2027, or if the NASA JPL Fireball and Bolide Data repository becomes permanently unavailable, this market may resolve based on a consensus of credible sources including the European Space Agency (ESA), the International Asteroid Warning Network (IAWN), the U.S. Department of Defense, or credible reporting of a scientific consensus, such as a NASA press release.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de 100kt meteor strike in 2026??
- Polymarket cotiza No al 96% a fecha de 10 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve 100kt meteor strike in 2026??
- Está previsto que 100kt meteor strike in 2026? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida 100kt meteor strike in 2026??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Yes" if a natural meteoroid (bolide) explodes in Earth's atmosphere with a total impact energy greater than or equal to 100 kilotons of TNT equivalent between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.