KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
Before Dec 11, 2026 95%Líder entre 5 opciones
Before Dec 11, 2026 95%Calidad del mercado
58 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
2,1 mil €
Interés abierto
24,1 mil €
Interés abierto altoSpread
5.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 minutos
29 sept 26, 15:30 UTC30 oct 26, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 1h (informativo)
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsReglas
If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 15 After issuance and before Nov 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:SpaceX
- For the purpose of this market, the launch date is the calendar date on which liftoff occurred, measured in the local timezone of the launch site, as publicly confirmed by SpaceX
Reglas de cada resultado
- Before Dec 11, 2026
- If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 15 After issuance and before Dec 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 27, 2026
- If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 15 After issuance and before Nov 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 13, 2026
- If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 15 After issuance and before Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 30, 2026
- If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 15 After issuance and before Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 16, 2026
- If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 15 After issuance and before Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
2 plataformas cotizan actualmente este mercado. La probabilidad de referencia ponderada por liquidez de CoinRithm para Before Dec 11, 2026 es del 95%. La dispersión entre plataformas es de unos 1 punto porcentual.
Referencia CoinRithm Before Dec 11, 2026 95% · 2 plataformas · 1 pt de dispersion entre venues
- También disponible en Limitless — SpaceX Starship 15th launch? · Before Dec 11, 2026 94%