Pronóstico comunitario actual
USA 66%Líder entre 9 opciones
USA 66%Pronosticadores
45
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado16 mar 24, 23:17 UTC1 ene 41, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Which company or organization will be the first to develop strong AGI as defined by Manifold?
Manifold MarketsWill an AI make a new breakthrough on the hardest math problems, as defined by Epoch AI, by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich High-risk threshold as defined by OpenAI will be reached first by an LLM, whether or not that LLM is released?
Manifold MarketsWill we have a scenario like "2030: Takeover" as defined in AI 2027 before the end of Q1, 2030?
Manifold MarketsAI bubble burst by which date?
PolymarketBest Chinese AI Company end of October?
PolymarketReglas
Link: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Artificial_general_intelligence