Which of these countries will have regions declare and gain recognised independence by the end of 2030?

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Pronóstico comunitario actual

Other 39.5%

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multiple choice

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

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Pronóstico

Cambio 7d

0.0 pts

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Actualizado hace 1 minuto

23 sept 23, 10:14 UTC31 dic 30, 21:59 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Reglas

This market will resolve at the end of 2030 based on available data and verifiable sources when the following conditions are set for a country:

A distinct region within the country must declare and gain its independence.
At least one other sovereign nation must officially recognize the independence of this region.
The declaration and recognition must occur before the end of 2030.
Market for 2050: https://manifold.markets/FlorinSays/which-countries-will-have-regions-d-815607ddcd13
Market for 2100: https://manifold.markets/FlorinSays/which-countries-will-have-regions-d-8684478bf61d

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