Pronóstico comunitario actual
CDU/CSU + SPD + Greens 42%Líder entre 16 opciones
Pronosticadores
36
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado24 feb 25, 22:56 UTC31 dic 29, 23:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the German government coalition hold until the next federal election in 2029?
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KalshiReglas
This market pertains to the next German federal election, scheduled to occur on or before 25 March 2029.
- This market will resolve to the first governing coalition that forms following the next German federal election.
- The listed order of parties does not matter, so "the named outcome" is equivalent to "SPD + CDU/CSU".
- "CDU/CSU" refers to the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and the Christian Social Union (CSU) collectively.
- If one of these parties forms a coalition without the other, the market will resolve to the option explicitly listing "CDU" or "CSU" as part of the coalition.
- If no federal election occurs by 2030, or an election is held but no coalition is formed before then, this market will resolve to "the named outcome".
Mercados abiertos
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Which coalition will govern Germany after the next federal election??
- Manifold Markets cotiza CDU/CSU + SPD + Greens al 42% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Which coalition will govern Germany after the next federal election??
- Está previsto que Which coalition will govern Germany after the next federal election? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Which coalition will govern Germany after the next federal election??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market pertains to the next German federal election, scheduled to occur on or before 25 March 2029.