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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Política
  3. Which 2026 NEWSMAKER will run for president in 2028
Manifold Markets

Which 2026 NEWSMAKER will run for president in 2028

PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElección2a
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSin KYC
Pronóstico comunitario actual
Manifold Markets
Graham Platner 23.6%
Líder entre 9 opciones
Pronosticadores

4

Tipo de pregunta

multiple choice

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado ayer

Desactualizado
9 jun 26, 7:2531 dic 28, 23:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Graham Platner24%

Reglas

Resolution criteria

Manifold Markets
  • This market is an independent multiple-choice market.
  • Each option representing an individual candidate will resolve independently to YES or NO based on whether that individual officially runs for President of the United States in the 2028 election cycle.
  • YES Resolution: An individual will resolve to YES if they publicly announce their candidacy for President of the United States for the 2028 election, or if they formally file a Form 2 (Statement of Candidacy) with the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
  • NO Resolution: If an individual does not officially declare candidacy or file a Form 2, they will resolve to NO.
  • Exploratory Committees: Simply launching a presidential exploratory committee does not qualify as running unless followed by an official declaration of candidacy or an FEC Form 2 filing.

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Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?

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Los Angeles mayoral election: Spencer Pratt vote percent (1st round)

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When will FISA be reauthorized again?

When will FISA be reauthorized again?

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Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$63,163.91+3.41%EthereumETH$1,661.73+2.50%SolanaSOL$65.72+3.74%DogecoinDOGE$0.0853+2.56%XRPXRP$1.12+1.60%BNBBNB$601.12+3.02%

Noticias Relacionadas

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Reglas

Resolution criteria

Manifold Markets
  • This market is an independent multiple-choice market.
  • Each option representing an individual candidate will resolve independently to YES or NO based on whether that individual officially runs for President of the United States in the 2028 election cycle.
  • YES Resolution: An individual will resolve to YES if they publicly announce their candidacy for President of the United States for the 2028 election, or if they formally file a Form 2 (Statement of Candidacy) with the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
  • NO Resolution: If an individual does not officially declare candidacy or file a Form 2, they will resolve to NO.
  • Exploratory Committees: Simply launching a presidential exploratory committee does not qualify as running unless followed by an official declaration of candidacy or an FEC Form 2 filing.