Which of these Republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?
9.5 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElección1a
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
J.D. Vance 30.3%-9.5ptLíder entre 10 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
60 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
119,4 €
Liquidez
57,2 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
+24.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 27 minutos
21 jul 26, 23:00 UTC1 ene 28, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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KalshiWhich of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?
PolymarketWill Joe Manchin run for president in 2028?
KalshiWill Jon Ossoff announce a run for President before 2028?
PredictItWill Stephen A. Smith announce a run for president before 2028?
PredictItWill Rubio and Vance both announce a run for President before 2028?
PredictItReglas
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise.
- An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
- The listed individuals are: the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome Jr., the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, and the named outcome.
- An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority.
- A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
- If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".