KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
No 54%
Calidad del mercado
55 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
139,2 €
Liquidez
4,3 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
41.0% / 46.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 28 minutos
12 mar 26, 14:00 UTC1 ene 28, 15:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will either Rubio or Vance be the 2028 Republican nominee for president?
Manifold MarketsWill Marco Rubio run for President?
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PolymarketWhich of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?
PolymarketWill Joe Manchin run for president in 2028?
KalshiWill Jon Ossoff announce a run for President before 2028?
PredictItReglas
If JD Vance and Marco Rubio both announce presidential campaigns to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before January 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
- If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: JD Vance (2028RUNPARTY), Marco Rubio (2028RUNPARTY).
- All conditions must be satisfied before Jan 2028.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+1.1pt60.4%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt38.6%
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- Volumen total
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- Volumen 24h
- 947,3 mil €
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt21%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt59.8%
- D-House, R-Senate29.4%
- Republicans sweep+0.4pt9.8%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 194,6 M €
KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Karen Bass-6.0pt56.4%
- Nithya Raman+7.0pt43.6%
- Volumen total
- 28,9 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 523,8 mil €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-1.2pt90.1%
- Republican Party+0.4pt9.9%
- Volumen total
- 30,1 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 493,5 mil €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Rubio and Vance run for President??
- Kalshi cotiza No al 54% a fecha de 22 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Rubio and Vance run for President??
- Está previsto que Will Rubio and Vance run for President? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Rubio and Vance run for President??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If JD Vance and Marco Rubio both announce presidential campaigns to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before January 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Will Rubio and Vance run for President??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en PredictIt.