Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualGavin Newsom 92.3%Líder entre 43 opciones
Pronosticadores
90
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado5 feb 25, 4:50 UTC16 nov 28, 5:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Pete Buttigieg run for president of the United States in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Donald Trump cease to be President of the United States?
Manifold MarketsWho will be voted President of the United States by the Electoral College in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be elected President of the United States in 2028?
FutuurWill Gavin Newsom be elected President of the United States in 2028?
FutuurWill Bernie Sanders run for President in 2028?
KalshiReglas
Each option resolves YES when the respective candidate files a FEC Form 2 seeking the office of President, the formal statement of candidacy.
- (Informal statements by the candidate are irrelevant to resolution.)
- All other options resolve NO once all relevant deadlines have passed.
- Close date is provisional in that this market will likely resolve earlier than it once I identify all relevant deadlines.
Mercados abiertos
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 605,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 697,7 mil €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 471,3 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 resultados más
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Who will run for President of the United States in 2028??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Gavin Newsom al 92% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Who will run for President of the United States in 2028??
- Está previsto que Who will run for President of the United States in 2028? se resuelva el 16 de noviembre de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Who will run for President of the United States in 2028??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Each option resolves YES when the respective candidate files a FEC Form 2 seeking the office of President, the formal statement of candidacy.