Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual2028 27.9%Líder entre 9 opciones
Pronosticadores
5
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+16.8 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 horas
Desactualizado6 sept 26, 23:44 UTC1 ene 37, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
When will US Federal Debt Reach 50 Trillion USD?
Manifold MarketsWill the US national debt be above $40 trillion by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill US gross federal debt reach $41 trillion before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the US fiscal deficit be slashed by 1 trillion USD in the Fiscal Year 2026?
FutuurUS defaults on debt by 2027?
PolymarketWill the US National Debt exceed $47 Trillion by the end of FY 2030?
ForecastExReglas
This market will resolve to the first Record Date on which the Total Public Debt Outstanding of the United States reaches or exceeds $50,000,000,000,000.00 ($50 trillion USD).
- The official source of truth is the "Debt to the Penny" dataset published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury's Fiscal Data website: Debt to the Penny | U.S. Treasury Fiscal Data .
- Metric: The specific data field to determine the resolution is Total Public Debt Outstanding.
- Resolution Date: The market will resolve to the exact date listed in the "Record Date" column of the first Treasury entry displaying a value of $50,000,000,000,000.00 or greater.
- The U.S. national debt officially crossed the $40 trillion threshold on August 18, 2026, several years ahead of initial Congressional Budget Office (CBO) projections.
- This rapid escalation has been fueled by persistent budget deficits, high interest rates, and growing mandatory spending.
Mercados abiertos
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 89,9 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,7 M €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 541,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 30,7 mil €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 334,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 12,8 mil €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt53.9%
- September Meeting+1.0pt46.1%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 resultados más
POLYMARKETCore CPI MoM - August 2026
- 0.2%-1.5pt51.4%
- 0.3%+4.5pt34.3%
- 0.1%-1.5pt10.5%
+4 resultados más
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 77,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 5,5 mil €
Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de When will U.S. debt hit 50 trillion USD??
- Manifold Markets cotiza 2028 al 28% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve When will U.S. debt hit 50 trillion USD??
- Está previsto que When will U.S. debt hit 50 trillion USD? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2037.
- ¿Cómo se liquida When will U.S. debt hit 50 trillion USD??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to the first Record Date on which the Total Public Debt Outstanding of the United States reaches or exceeds $50,000,000,000,000.00 ($50 trillion USD).