Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualBefore Jan 2027 55.4%Líder entre 7 opciones
Pronosticadores
4
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 26 minutos
15 dic 25, 14:16 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
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KalshiReglas
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if FSD (Supervised) is generally available to EU customers in a majority of EU member states (≥14/27), via Tesla’s normal purchase/subscription flow, with a substantially similar feature set to the contemporaneous U.S. “FSD (Supervised)” release.
- “Generally available” excludes employee-only access, invitation-only programs, or small pilots limited to a city/region or a tiny capped fleet.
- The market resolves NO otherwise (including if only “Enhanced Autopilot”-style features are available).
- Primary source for resolution: Tesla release notes / official Tesla communications for EU rollout, supplemented by reputable reporting if needed.
- Feel free to comment for improving the criteria.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de When will Tesla FSD (supervised) be widely available in the EU??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Before Jan 2027 al 55% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve When will Tesla FSD (supervised) be widely available in the EU??
- Está previsto que When will Tesla FSD (supervised) be widely available in the EU? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida When will Tesla FSD (supervised) be widely available in the EU??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria