Trump sends uniformed military to polling stations during 2026 midterm elections?
PolíticaGeopolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.ElecciónElecciones de mitad de mandato de EE. UU. 20262m
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 60.3%
Pronosticadores
21
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado12 dic 25, 1:55 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- The 2026 midterm elections will take place in November 2026.
- This market resolves YES if uniformed military personnel are deployed to polling stations during voting on election day or early voting periods. "Uniformed military" means active duty, National Guard, or Reserve personnel in official military attire.
- The deployment must be to the actual polling location or its immediate vicinity (within 100 feet).
- Resolution sources: News reports from major outlets (AP, Reuters, NPR, etc.), official statements from the Department of Defense, state election officials, or court filings documenting such deployments.
- The market resolves NO if no such deployments occur.
