Will ICE be deployed at polling stations during the 2026 midterm elections?
PolíticaOne-OffElecciones de mitad de mandato de EE. UU. 2026Política de EE. UU.Elección13d
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 66.9%
Pronosticadores
84
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado19 ene 26, 22:53 UTC10 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will ICE be deployed at polling stations during the 2026 midterm elections?
Manifold MarketsTrump sends uniformed military to polling stations during 2026 midterm elections?
Manifold MarketsNational Guard deployed at polling places in 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a significant polling error at the 2026 US midterm elections?
Manifold MarketsWill the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
PolymarketRepublican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
PolymarketReglas
For whatever reason (ie, "stop the illegals from voting!"), will ICE be deployed in a meaningful fashion to or around polling stations during the 2026 midterm elections?
- "ICE" is being used as shorthand for all forms of immigration enforcement, including: DHS and its derivative organizations (such as CBP), or the National Guard when deployed for the purposes of immigration enforcement.
- Resolution criteria
- The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- This market resolves YES if ICE is deployed in a meaningful fashion to or around polling stations on or immediately before Election Day. "Meaningful" means visible, coordinated presence that could reasonably be characterized as enforcement operations targeting polling locations—not incidental encounters or routine operations unrelated to voting sites.
- Resolution will be determined by credible reporting from major news outlets, election monitoring organizations, or official statements from election officials, DHS, or ICE confirming deployment.
