SOAI#3: Open-ended agents make a meaningful scientific discovery end-to-end (hypothesis, expt, iteration, paper).
IAOne-Off1mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 69.1%
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Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado9 oct 25, 23:04 UTC10 oct 26, 23:04 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
This market resolves to YES or NO as per the 2026 State of AI Report's self grading of its prediction #3: Open-ended agents make a meaningful scientific discovery end-to-end (hypothesis, expt, iteration, paper).
- If they do not issue a ruling by EOY 2026, I will resolve by asking Anthropic's best model to evaluate based on their exact wording.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de SOAI#3: Open-ended agents make a meaningful scientific discovery end-to-end (hypothesis, expt, iteration, paper).?
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 69% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve SOAI#3: Open-ended agents make a meaningful scientific discovery end-to-end (hypothesis, expt, iteration, paper).?
- Está previsto que SOAI#3: Open-ended agents make a meaningful scientific discovery end-to-end (hypothesis, expt, iteration, paper). se resuelva el 10 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida SOAI#3: Open-ended agents make a meaningful scientific discovery end-to-end (hypothesis, expt, iteration, paper).?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market resolves to YES or NO as per the 2026 State of AI Report's self grading of its prediction #3: Open-ended agents make a meaningful scientific discovery end-to-end (hypothesis, expt, iteration, paper).