SOAI#1: A major retailer reports >5% of online sales from agentic checkout as AI agent advertising spend hits $5B.

One-OffIA Adoption3m

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Pronóstico comunitario actual

No 75.4%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 10 minutos

9 oct 25, 23:03 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

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Reglas

This market resolves to YES or NO as per the 2026 State of AI Report's self grading of its prediction #1: A major retailer reports >5% of online sales from agentic checkout as AI agent advertising spend hits $5B.

If they do not issue a ruling by EOY 2026, I will resolve by asking Anthropic's best model to evaluate based on their exact wording.

Reportar un problema de datos de este mercado

SOAI#1: A major retailer reports >5% of online sales from agentic checkout as AI agent advertising spend hits $5B.

One-OffIA Adoption3m

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Pronóstico comunitario actual

No 75.4%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 10 minutos

9 oct 25, 23:03 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Mercados Relacionados

Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.

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Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?

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Will an AI agent autonomously discover and report a novel security vulnerability (assigned CVE) by end of 2026?

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Reglas

If they do not issue a ruling by EOY 2026, I will resolve by asking Anthropic's best model to evaluate based on their exact wording.

Reportar un problema de datos de este mercado

Preguntas frecuentes

¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de SOAI#1: A major retailer reports >5% of online sales from agentic checkout as AI agent advertising spend hits $5B.?: Manifold Markets cotiza No al 75% a fecha de 21 de septiembre de 2026.
¿Cuándo se resuelve SOAI#1: A major retailer reports >5% of online sales from agentic checkout as AI agent advertising spend hits $5B.?: Está previsto que SOAI#1: A major retailer reports >5% of online sales from agentic checkout as AI agent advertising spend hits $5B. se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
¿Cómo se liquida SOAI#1: A major retailer reports >5% of online sales from agentic checkout as AI agent advertising spend hits $5B.?: Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market resolves to YES or NO as per the 2026 State of AI Report's self grading of its prediction #1: A major retailer reports >5% of online sales from agentic checkout as AI agent advertising spend hits $5B.

SOAI#1: A major retailer reports >5% of online sales from agentic checkout as AI agent advertising spend hits $5B.

SOAI#1: A major retailer reports >5% of online sales from agentic checkout as AI agent advertising spend hits $5B.

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