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Datos del 29 jun 2026, 3:43 UTC · política pm-quality-2
Pronóstico comunitario actual[Baseline Politics] Democrats win the House in the 2026 midterms (Nate: 85%) 90.6%Líder entre 113 opciones
Pronosticadores
179
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 días
Desactualizado28 ene 25, 17:012 feb 29, 4:59
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
[Baseline Politics] Democrats win the House in the 2026 midterms (Nate: 85%)91%
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Based on Nate Silver's article (although I think he skipped #86):
- https://www.natesilver.net/p/113-predictions-for-trumps-second
- All predictions without and end date will be assumed to be on the last day of Trump's term, 1/20/2029.
- I will take a snapshot of the percentages on 2/9/2025 (to hopefully get enough volume) to track for this market:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/StopPunting/trumps-second-term-will-manifold-ou?play=true) Also See:
- @/StopPunting/which-trump-2028-term-prediction-ca