Republicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by which date?
1.1 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.ElecciónElecciones de mitad de mandato de EE. UU. 20267d
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
October 31 · —
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1,1 mil US$
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Cambio 7d
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Actualizado hace 12 minutos
21 ago 26, 20:26 UTC1 nov 26, 3:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point by the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the Silver Bulletin Flipr Forecast of the 2026 Senate election gives Republicans a greater than 50% chance to control the United States Senate.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A 50.0% chance shall not be sufficient to resolve this market.
- The resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's 2026 Flipr Forecast of Senate control, using the "Deluxe" version of the forecast, that can be found at https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2026-midterm-election-polls-model.
- Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the forecast will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
- If either Silver Bulletin or Flipr rebrand or otherwise change names or urls, this market will resolve based on the clearly-identified successor, should one exist.