Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual$13 100%Líder entre 4 opciones
Pronosticadores
4
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado30 ene 26, 10:13 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
100%
100%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
Inspired by the weird capitalization of
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/Jack1/what-price-will-silver-hit-in-janua)This market tracks the price of the lowest tier of monthly individual paid subscription for Nate Silver's blog at https://www.natesilver.net/.
- This is currently $ 12.
- Prices above $12 are considered a "hit" if at any time throughout 2026 Nate offers a monthly paid subscription with a price tag HIGHER OR EQUAL to that price.
- Symmetrically, prices below $12 are considered a "hit" if a monthly subscription with a price that LOWER OR EQUAL is offered.
- The free subscription tier does not count for resolution.