Will the Trade deficit of the US be 10% lower at the end of Trump’s 2nd term
InflaciónOne-OffPolítica comercialMacro y economíaPolítica de EE. UU.2a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 25 oct 2026, 1:00 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualNo 75%
Pronosticadores
7
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado15 mar 25, 1:42 UTC5 nov 28, 3:59 UTC
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KalshiUS trade deficit for 2026?
KalshiReglas
Source: FRED
- Nov 4, 2028 as compared with Nov 4, 2024
- Inflation adjusted
- Update 2025-08-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Resolution will use a year-over-year comparison of the US trade deficit from FRED, rather than specific daily dates or fiscal-year totals.
- Figures remain inflation adjusted as stated.
- Update 2025-08-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Use FRED data; figures are inflation-adjusted.
