Manifold thinks the Iranian regime is in a stronger position on the anniversary of the start of Operation Epic Fury
Oriente MedioGeopolítica4mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 25 oct 2026, 21:52 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualStronger 50.3%Líder entre 3 opciones
Pronosticadores
6
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 20 horas
Desactualizado8 abr 26, 1:46 UTC1 mar 27, 2:43 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
PolymarketIf Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIf the US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIf the US strikes Iran by June 30th, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Iranian regime be overthrown?
Manifold MarketsWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
LimitlessReglas
On February 28th 2027 I'll create a poll asking "Is the Islamic regime of Iran in a stronger or weaker position than before Operation Epic Fury started?".
- Possible answers will be "stronger", "the named outcome" and "weaker".
- The poll will run for a week and this market will resolve to the poll's answer.
- If there is a tie I'll pass the tiebreaker.
