Pronóstico comunitario actual
No 90.7%
Pronosticadores
15
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado25 jul 26, 12:32 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Kimi K4 released by which date?
PolymarketWill the US restrict access to Kimi in 2026?
KalshiKimi Moonshoot IPO before 2028?
Manifold MarketsBest Chinese AI Company end of October?
PolymarketUS Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
PolymarketSecond-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
PolymarketReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Moonshot AI officially releases or makes publicly available the "Kimi K4" large language model (or any model explicitly designated under the "Kimi K4" naming convention, such as Kimi K4 Max, Kimi K4 Swarm, or Kimi K4 Base) on or before December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
- To qualify for a YES resolution, the model must be made available through at least one of the following:
- Released open-weights to the public (e.g., via Hugging Face or the Moonshot AI GitHub)
- Integrated as an active model variant in the Kimi chat interface/app (kimi.com)